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Stephen Pollard

ByStephen Pollard, Stephen Pollard

Opinion

Over and out

May 14, 2008 24:00
1 min read

There's a bizarre post by Conor Ryan on the Democrat nomination process: A 67-26 victory in West Virginia by the woman whom the media has been declaring a lame duck is a reminder why this contest is not over yet. The maths of the Democratic race may dictate that Obama is the likely candidate, but the maths of the Presidential election are rather more complicated, and suggest Hillary is more likely to beat McCain. Be that as it may, the fact - fact, not media speculation - is that Obama has more of the primary delgates tied up, and the superdelegates are announcing only one way - for Obama. The contest is over, over, over. It's as over as my ante post bet on New Approach in the 2000 Guineas. It's as over as Brian Clough. It's as over as Gordon Brown.

The argument about who'd be best to beat McCain is now irrelevant. Obama will be the nominee. All Hillary is doing is getting her 'I told you so's in now, ready for 2012. And turning it into a self-fulfilling prophesy by expanding, rather than minimising, voters' splits.