A couple of people have asked me why I haven't given my forecast for the elections today: will it be Boris or Ken?
I am not in a pollster's office. I do not have any special access to opinion polling. I'm typing this in my study in Finchley. I am sitting with a (lovely) view of my garden. I've been out for a nice lunch with friends. Now I'm home again.
How on earth do I have any special insight into what the result will be?