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Opinion

French elections and the Jewish predicament

What should Jews in France do, asks our blogger, Reuven Levi

March 2, 2017 11:57
2 min read

The situation in France is improving: economic growth is positive; the housing market has come alive and employment is growing. People are more vigilant since the dramatic terrorist acts of 2015-16, the intelligence services are more active and public debate is lively and better informed. It feels better for Jews too, but the future is highly uncertain.

The forthcoming Presidential elections continue to dominate the news, but no-one dares predict the outcome. Candidates are subject to fierce scrutiny and voters are fickle.The traditional right-left divide is fracturing in the face of weak mainstream party candidates: the conservative Francois Fillon’s legal and moral issues are undermining his support, while socialist Benoit Hamon lacks presidential standing and is challenged by the extreme left Jean-Luc Melenchon. Unexpected space in the centre has opened for the brilliant Emmanuel Macron, 38, former economic advisor to president Hollande and former Rothschild banker.

The Macron message is new and optimistic, pitched above traditional ideologies. Watchwords are work and entrepreneurship, freedom and creativity, openness to the world coupled with strong social protection.  His new party “En Marche” might be loosely translated “Yes we can”. His meetings are positively evangelical.

Latest polls show Macron winning a second-round run-off against Marine Le Pen 60/40, but he could still come unstuck. Francois Bayrou has now joined Macron, adding both political experience and support from an established centre party, but Fillon might withdraw in favour of a stronger right wing candidate.  Macron could stumble at the televised debates or cause himself unprovoked damage as in Algeria recently where he described the French colonial period as a crime against humanity. Voters may decide not to go to the polls.