Become a Member
John Lichfield

ByJohn Lichfield, John Lichfield

Analysis

It's almost sure to be Fillon v Le Pen: an agonising choice for French Jews

December 1, 2016 11:56
Party with history of Jew-hate: Le Pen
2 min read

French jews face the prospect of an agonising choice in the final round of the presidential election in May - between a de-odorised far right and a mainstream conservative candidate who has made several ambivalent remarks about Jews.

Voters of the centre-left are also confronting the unpalatable near-certainty of a second round run-off on May 7 between Marine Le Pen and a man who promises to take a Thatcherist axe to the French state.

In both cases, voters will choose what they see as the lesser of two misfortunes. Even in these pundit-defying political times, it appears highly likely that the next president of France will be François Fillon, 62, who rode a wave of anti-state and bourgeois Catholic anger to a sweeping victory in the centre-right primary last Sunday.

With President François Hollande's centre-left desperately unpopular and scattered, Mr Fillon seems almost certain to claim the "golden ticket"of a second-round face-off with the Front National leader Ms Le Pen next spring. Those who predict, or fear, that the Trump-Brexit populist wave might sweep Ms Le Pen to power have omitted to consider the odd dynamics of the two-round French voting system.