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Analysis

Biden is just desperate for the war to end before the November election

American promises of support have never meant less than they do now

June 5, 2024 09:23
Joe Biden GettyImages-1231463345
WASHINGTON, DC - MARCH 01: U.S. President Joe Biden looks on during a virtual meeting with Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador in the Roosevelt Room of the White House on March 1, 2021 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker-Pool/Getty Images)
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The Biden administration cannot afford for the war in Gaza to go on. November’s presidential elections are five months away and the Democratic National Convention only two months away. Donald Trump is now a convicted felon but he still leads Joe Biden in the polls. The war has split the Democrats and they are unwilling to unite around Biden. The president needs a win.

The ceasefire plan announced by President Biden on 31 May is an attempt to force Israel to stop fighting. That means leaving Hamas in power in Gaza. The administration knows that. It also knows that this would amount to a defeat for Israel, whose government has committed itself to victory, and defined victory as the removal of Hamas.

When Biden announced the plan, he said that Israel could safely withdraw from Gaza and safely free hundreds of Palestinian terrorists in exchange for the hostages in Gaza, “without any further risk to their own security, because they have devastated Hamas forces over the past eight months”.

“At this point,” Biden continued, “Hamas no longer is capable of carrying out another October 7th.” He didn’t suggest at what point Hamas might again be capable of mass terrorism. Just so long as it doesn’t happen until after the elections.

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Joe Biden