Jeremy Corbyn is set to be booted out of Parliament at the upcoming general election, according to new polling.
The prediction comes from a new “multi-level regression and post-stratification” (MRP) poll, which looks at likely results in individual parliamentary seats, carried out by Ipsos. It has projected a big Labour victory, with Keir Starmer’s party predicted to win 453 seats and have a huge parliamentary majority of 256.
The former Labour Party leader, who has held his north London seat of Islington North since 1983 and is now standing as an independent candidate, is one of those expected to lose to Labour.
The veteran left-winger was prevented from standing as a Labour Party candidate by the party’s governing body the National Executive Committee (NEC).
Corbyn, who led Labour between 2015-2020, had the party whip removed from him in October 2020 after he refused to accept the conclusions of the Equality and Human Rights Commission’s (EHRC) report on antisemitism in the Labour Party under his leadership. In a Facebook post, Corbyn said that the scale of antisemitism in the party had been “dramatically overstated” for political reasons by his rivals and the media.
Ipsos’ poll projected the Tories losing 250 seats and holding just 115. Conservative frontbenchers like Defence Secretary Grant Shapps, who is Jewish, and House of Commons leader Penny Mordaunt, are predicted to be among the Tory casualties, as is former business secretary Jacob Rees Mogg.
Reform UK’s Nigel Farage will enter Parliament for the first time out of eight attempts, taking the Essex coastal seat of Clacton from the Conservatives, according to the survey.
