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Orlando Radice

ByOrlando Radice, Orlando Radice

Opinion

Logic, Mr Hague?

May 31, 2013 11:40
1 min read

The reasoning behind Britain and France’s drive to have the EU lift its arms embargo on Syria – which was agreed on this week by European foreign ministers after considerable bickering - seems to be that by strengthening the rebels, the West can eventually force the two sides to the negotiating table.

That does not seem logical.

Leave aside the fact that Russia responded by saying it would arm Assad with sophisticated anti-aircraft missiles, a move that Hague and the French foreign minister, Laurent Fabius, could not necessarily have predicted. The Russian missile offer caps off month of military gains by the Syrian regime, which has retaken large swathes of the country back from the rebels.

Assad has proved that he will keep on fighting even when rebels are overrunning parts of Damascus or assassinating his defence chief in a bomb attack, as they did last summer. He has the dedicated and consistent support of Iran’s al Quds bridage – a special operations force - and Hizbollah, which has an estimated 4,000 fighters operating in Syria on his behalf. And he will soon have a Russian missile defence system.