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Half of all Jews now live in Israel and that is a source of strength

To predict our future, we must first understand our past, especially the huge changes since the founding of the Jewish state

July 26, 2022 09:57
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Street of Jerusalem Old City Alley made with hand curved stones. Israel, Middle East
6 min read

I was recently asked by Westminster Synagogue to speak on the future of Judaism. I told them that, as someone who has written about history, I find it difficult enough to find out what happened in the past, let alone to discern what is going to happen in the future.
But perhaps the best way of trying to discern the future is to look at the past, as Nye Bevan, founder of the National Health Service, used to say. Why look at the crystal ball when you can read the book? So it is worth comparing the position of Jews today with that of a hundred years ago.

In 1922, there were 14,400,000 Jews in the world. The centres of Judaism outside the United States were in central and Eastern Europe — Berlin, Warsaw and Budapest.
There seemed grounds for optimism. In 1922 the League of Nations, predecessor of the United Nations, awarded Britain the Palestine British mandate. This was as significant as the Balfour Declaration of 1917 since it confirmed the legitimacy of Britain’s promise of a national home for the Jews. That meant a part of the world in which Jews could live as of right. There would be a Jewish majority, to be built up through immigration. “The wandering Jews”, The Times had declared in April 1920, “will at last have a home”.

But the depression of 1929 dashed that optimism, since it led to the intensification of antisemitism east of Germany, except for Czechoslovakia, and the spread of antisemitism under Hitler westwards to the Rhine.

By 1939, the world Jewish population had increased to almost 17 million. But Jews on the Continent faced a precarious future. Many sought to emigrate, but most countries closed their doors. Jews were not welcome. And in 1939 the British government in its White Paper severely limited immigration into the national home, proposing to end it entirely, well before a Jewish majority had been achieved. That seemed to mark the end of the Balfour Declaration.